Thursday, November 30, 2006
22 minutes a night, 6.8 points, 0.7 assists to 1.13 turnovers, 2.4 boards, shooting 40.4% from the floor and 41.1% from downtown, while playing arguably the worst perimeter defense you will ever see on the professional level.
The three point shooting is fine, everything else sucks. This is where the questions start. When Brandon Roy comes back, he'll obviously take a ton of minutes away from Webster. Outlaw has to keep playing the 3 and hopefully we see his minutes increase north of 30 per night. Webster appears destined to one of the following fates here in Portland.
1. Traded. He's very young still, could turn into a Steve Smith, Glen Rice type, which was his ceiling in the first place and he'd probably look just like they looked in college if he was playing for the Huskies. He has a ton of value, and if you attached him to The All Star's expiring contract or LaFrentz's big contract, you could get a good player in return.
2. Bench Sniper. He backs up Roy, plays 15-20 a night overall and rains down 3's when he gets on the floor. He'd have to get far more aggressive with his jumpers if he's to be this player.
3. Starting Small Forward. This option takes playing time away from Outlaw, but with Jack, Roy, and Z-bo on the floor, he'd get countless open looks at 3's and could help the team get off to quick starts. It also adds a lot more explosiveness to the second unit with Outlaw out there.
4. Benched, they sit on him and hope he's just too young to be useful right now and busts ass at practice and gets better.
Personally, I see 1 or 2 happening. He looks like a young Wes Person in training. Not that there's anything wrong with that, and I could see him in 2011 knocking down dagger 3 after dagger 3 in a playoff series for whoever LaBron is playing for by then. I'm not in favor of giving up a kid that's 19 years old and trading him, but it depends on what's available. Let's say Portland plays well the rest of the year, finishes with 35-37 wins and is in the 10 range in the Lottery. That's probably too low to get an impact 3, so why not a sign and trade of Martell, Miles, LaFrentz, and your #1 for Vince Carter? Next year a starting 5 of Jack, Roy, Vince, Z-bo, and Aldridge can be a 45-50 win team and in the playoffs again. What I'm saying is he's not untradeable, just don't trade him for trading's sake, that's all.
Wednesday, November 29, 2006
The Marcus: 17.76. I admit I may have been wrong about him. He looks pretty good so far, although I worry about Nate forgetting he's on the bench at times during the middle of the games. With Joel back they should be parking The All Star on the end of the bench and not letting him anywhere near the floor.
Dickau: 9.10. He stinks.
Juan Dixon: 11.98. Dixon isn't very good, although Nate likes him. When he's hot (not often) he's a useful 2 guard off the bench, when he's not, he's terrible.
Stephen Graham: 5.64. Hey Nate, he's not an NBA player, stop playing him.
Jarrett Jack: 15.88. A bright spot. He's been better than expected so far, despite what a couple afternoon radio hosts might say. Jack's held his own and has been above average in his first year as a starter, what more can you ask?
The All Star: 6.96. Awful, just...Awful.
Outlaw: 15.52. Bright spot #2, he simply needs more playing time. I don't know what they're doing playing some of their worst players as much as they play Outlaw, but this is hot button issue #1 with me right now. Get him out there, he brings a ton to the table and takes very little off.
Randolph: 27.46. Folks, that's not just an All Star, that's an All NBA type season if he keeps it up. As much crap as he takes, and deserves to take, he's been a bad ass on the floor so far.
Sergio: 10.89. His shooting is so craptastic that it undoes all the good from his 13 assists per 40 minutes. Still, an interesting player.
Brandon Roy: 15.52. Hurry back, we need you, badly.
Ime Udoka: 12.30. I go back and forth on Udoka, he's been better lately and if he was the 15 minute a night energy guy off the bench behind Outlaw he could be very useful. He's not a starting small forward in the NBA though.
Martell Webster: 9.77. Ugh.
Friday, November 24, 2006
- The Ducks mail one in so bad at home against Arizona that they cause me to leave a Duck game earlier than ever before (even earlier than the Oklahoma game, which ended with surprisingly better results). They lost by 4 touchdowns at home to Arizona, they might as well have replaced the "O" on the helmet with a stamp.
- The Broncos blow a 24-7 lead in Denver, Jake Plummer implodes, and they all but end all Super Bowl aspirations due to there being no chance at all for home field advantage.
- I screwed up the stuffing (too much chicken broth, hence too soggy)
- The Broncos lose in Kansas City, Jake Plummer implodes, and I consider climbing in the oven with the turkey.
- The Ducks lose the Civil War in horrific fashion. It's still Friday evening, I'm not over it, I can't discuss it, let's move on.
- My baseball team is paying 45 million dollars over 5 years for Juan Pierre.
- Ernie Kent is still the coach of the Duck hoop team, so they still do things like struggle at Rice.
I'm dealing with a lot of shit. Thankfully, there are two lights at the end of the tunnel, one being Jay Cutler, but we don't need to talk about him. The second, this being the point of the whole post, is I'm very happy with the current state of our Trailblazers. 6-7, and if they can get a win tomorrow night in Sacramento they'll be looking at finishing a brutal November considerably better than I thought they would. Brandon Roy's been great, and as long as it's not a long term problem in his foot, he should avoid the rookie wall. The Marcus has been FAR better than I thought he would be. Basically, the Blazers are the high point for me right now, and as horrifying as that sounds, the future is bright. And now, back to the Abyss...
Happy Thanksgiving weekend, back on Monday with some all new rants and raves.
Monday, November 20, 2006
First, a reminder of how the tiers work:
Tier 1: Heavyweights. Teams who have a legitimate shot at winning the whole shebang.
Tier 2: Cruiserweights. Not quite ready to be considered in the league's upper echelon, but close and very talented.
Tier 3: Middleweights. Teams are a few steps away from contention, but have enough to challenge for a playoff spot.
Tier 4: Lightweights. Bad teams who don't have a chance.*
*when we say "don't have a chance", that refers to the championship, not the playoffs. The reason for this caveat is that because the Eastern Conference is so weak, there will inevitably be a lightweight team or two who challenges for a playoff spot.
TIER TRAUMA VOLUME 2
Note: a “+” in front of a team notes that they have been promoted a tier, “-“ signifies a demotion.
Tier 1 - Heavyweights
The Clippers’ hot start – despite Chris Kaman looking like garbage – elevates them to top-tier status. Phoenix has looked ugly so far this season – a few big wins, and a few horrendous losses – but I expect them to rebound. Another sub-par two weeks though, and we could see a drop. Dallas is back on track, and the Spurs just look great.
Tier 2 - Cruiserweights
The Cavaliers have looked great this year; and they’ve done it without Hughes. The fact that they’re playing the best basketball in the East but aren’t in Tier 1 says more about the East than it does the Cavs. The Heat drop down to this tier (and could drop further) thanks to some mediocre play and Shaq’s knee surgery. OKC gets a promotion because they’ve looked very good this season (second-half implosion against Portland notwithstanding), and Stojakovic is just starting to heat up.
Tier 3 - Middleweights
Overtakes Tier 4 as now the biggest Tier, which I think more properly reflects the state of the NBA. Portland gets the official promotion. They’ve looked great with Roy in the lineup, and they’ve looked scrappy without him. Nice rebound from a tough four-game losing streak to play some great defense and get a win in New Jersey. The Bulls drop down to this tier as they’ve looked awful this year; I’m just not sure where they’re going to find enough scoring to win. Utah, Orlando, and LA have all been very pleasant surprises this season and are a few big wins away from promotion into Tier 2. And of course the Kings, who can’t seem to get a big win but beat the teams they should, have looked good.
Tier 4 - Lightweights
I might be a little harsh on Milwaukee, demoting them down to Tier 4. But have you seen them play? They lost to the Raptors in what was one of the ugliest games of the year. I will say this: they have potential to play much better, which is more than I can say for Philly, New York, and Minnesota, all of whom are completely stuck in the mud right now.
So there you have it. You’ll see another one of these at the 20-game mark – have a great week everyone.
I like Paul Allen, I think he's got some bad advise, but he genuinely wants to win.
I don't like Steve Patterson, this should shock people if they're also shocked by the sun coming up in the morning.
I side with the Oregonian, which I'm usually not a fan of, in their feud with the front office. If you want to be seen in a positive way in the community, maybe you should do something positive and not take a title contender to the worst record in the league in 5 years, and that's on top of the jackass factor. Maybe Canzano takes pot shots from time to time, but what sports columnist worth a damn doesn't call them like he sees them? I think Quick is a terrific beat writer who simply reports what happens, if it's bad, the responsibility lies with the team, not Jason Quick. If it's good, we aren't going to give him the credit.
I think the Blazers complaining about the arena situation is a little bit like complaining about a hangover if you knocked back a bottle of Jack Daniels the night before.
The link to Sheridan's story if you haven't read it already:
At 5-6, there are only 2 teams in the West that have more losses, Seattle at 4-7, and Memphis at 1-8.
Brandon Roy is out at least a couple more weeks in the boot, starting to look like a season long issue and the Blazers simply can't afford that.
Nate McMillan has decided to start a dreadful player in Graham because he wants his second unit to perform better, then tries to figure out why they start slowly.
The All Star is still holding steady at a 3.88 PER. Good times. Hey Steve, when you do interviews and say that "he's an All Star center"...well...let's just say that's a pretty high level of subterfuge.
Their upcoming games are the Spurs, Nets, Kings, Suns, and Pacers. Yikes. At 5-6, with those games coming up, this is a major danger zone. Somehow they have to win 2 or 3 of these games. If they can go 3-2 in that span and get out of this month 8-8 and get Roy and Joel back, then maybe we can raise the expectation level for this team officially.
Posting could be a bit spotty this week with the Holiday, but I'll try to get some stuff up randomly. I know the Fearless Moderator will be out of town, although we might be in the same place on a few occasions this week, which usually is not good news for the Blazer front office. The two of us, plus booze, usually results in an angry diatribe or two on the state of our once proud franchise.
Thursday, November 16, 2006
- Breaking news from today: Aldridge will be starting tomorrow against the Celtics. Nate still has concerns about Lamarcus getting in to foul trouble, but they’re going to give him the spot, the minutes and see what he can do.
- Stephen Graham will continue to start, and Webster will come off the bench.
- Another note that Quick pointed out was that with Aldridge and Pryzbilla, along with Roy and Udoka and Jack, they could have a VERY tough end-of-game defensive lineup.
- Regarding Sergio Rodriguez: The main reason he’s excelled has been because Brandon Roy is injured and he’s getting playing time. His past two games, he’s got 16 assists and 2 turnovers (Ed. Note: in less than 30 minutes in both games) and is making a big argument for more playing time. Eventually, he’s going to have to score/shoot a little bit more to be fully effective.
- Again, the language barrier came up with Sergio. He’s having trouble processing the in-game calls from the bench.
- Dan Dickau: really has no role with the team at this point. Nate has lost confidence in him, and Dan didn’t take advantage of the PT he was given when Roy went down.
- Quick’s preview of the game tomorrow against Boston: The highlight will be Telfair going against his old team. Telfair himself isn’t saying much other than he’s happy for a few of the guys he’s kept in contact with.
- When asked to pick out one thing that has been particularly happy with this season: the play of Zach Randolph.
- He mentioned the team’s consistently slow starts in the first quarter as his disappointing item thus far, identifying a combination of new players and injuries causing lineup changes as the main culprits.
- On Darius Miles: He does expect Miles to come back and play next year. He identified the range of success that’s been had with microfracture surgery … from the good (Zach Randolph and Jason Kidd) to the mediocre (Chris Webber) to the bad (Allan Houston).
- A bizarre question popped up regarding Joel Freeland. What are the team’s hopes next year? “He’s a young player, 19 years old, he needs to gain strength and work on his game but we’re very pleased with the way he’s played at the junior level over there, which is like college over here.”
- Patterson addressed the “Aldridge over Morrison” question, and broke it down like this: they essentially identified the four best players in the draft as two bigs – Bargnani and Aldridge – and two wings, Roy and Morrison. They wanted to get two of those four players, and when one of the big men went first, they went big man second so if they did get two they could get one big and one wing. Then Morrison went third, but the club was very excited to have a chance to acquire Roy and get a second top tier player.
- On Magloire’s performance, and how the trade has panned out: He’s fine with it. Blake’s not getting a lot of PT in Milwaukee (Editor’s note: and he wouldn’t be getting any here either), and Magloire needs to adjust to having some new teammates. He also mentioned how having Magloire has come in very handy with the injuries to Portland’s other front-court players.
- When asked about his own contract situation, he declined to respond to his specific situation, but he did say that they've been rebuilding the ballclub, season tickets have gone up, the community is responding to the new team, and overall he's very happy with the direction of the franchise.
Enough is enough, I know there's a learning curve and Nate's trying to develop his young guys, but Outlaw and Aldridge have to start. The starting 5 clearly should be Jack, Dixon, Outlaw, Z-bo, and Aldridge. This team has a chance to exceed expectations by a fairly wide margin, but they have to tread water until they get Roy and Joel back.
One last note about The Marcus, um, yeah, he's a lot better than I gave him credit for. His sample size is still too small to make a lot of use out of his PER (it's in Z-bo territory at 27.37), but it doesn't take any advanced stat matrix to see that the guy's pulling down 10 points and 7 boards in 20 minutes a night early in his career and is definitely a big piece of the future in Rip City.
Wednesday, November 15, 2006
A couple of facts seem to have presented themselves:
1. Ime Udoka is a nice story, and he’s a good filler for now -- but he’s nowhere near a starting-caliber NBA player.
2. Same goes for Stephen Graham. Both these guys are needed due to the team’s lack of small forwards, but neither can be counted on for heavy productive minutes.
3. Martell Webster is ready to play significant minutes; but not starter minutes. He’s a good shooter off the bench, he can score, and he’s starting to put it together, but he hasn’t yet developed the all-around skills to play 30+ per night.
4. Brandon Roy is certainly ready to start, and in four games has already established himself as one of the keys to the team.
5. LaMarcus Aldridge appears to be ready to contribute this season and play significant minutes at both the PF and C positions..
6. Travis Outlaw’s light appears to have turned on.
Given all of this, what will Portland’s rotation look like once they get healthy? We know that Miles is done for the year, and speculation is that all of Pryzbilla, Roy and LaFrentz will be back within the next few weeks. How will the playing time shake out? Let’s take a look.
Post Players. Suppose for a minute that Aldridge is a serviceable big man backup this year. You've got Zbo, Pryz, LaFrentz, Aldridge, Outlaw and Magloire who all need playing time at the PF or C spots. Yes, some are better than others, but given that all are either established veterans or promising young guys, I don’t see how you can give anyone on that list consistent DNP’s. Between the two post positions there are 96 minutes per game to be played. 38 of those will go to Zbo and 25 will go to Joel. Leaving 33 minutes for Aldrdige, Outlaw, LaFrentz, and the Magloire.
Clearly, that's too crowded. What this says to me is that you have to play Outlaw at SF and not PF.
The backcourt and wings. At the point, there are 48 minutes per night. You've got Jack playing 30 per night, maybe more- let's call it 33. That leaves 15 minutes that Roy and Spanish Chocolate can take. At the two wing spots ... SF and SG ... you've got another 96 minutes per night. Roy gets 25 (gotta remember the 10+ per night he's logging at PG), Outlaw gets 25, leaving 46 minutes for Webster, Dixon, Udoka, and Graham. A little bit of a stretch, but I think you can make that happen. Give Webster 20, give Dixon 20, and you're getting close.
PG – Jack 33, Roy 10, Spanish Chocolate 5
SG – Roy 25, Dixon 18, Webster 5
SF – Outlaw 25, Webster 17, Udoka or Graham: 6
PF – Zbo 35, Aldridge 7, LaFrentz 6
C – Pryzbilla 25, Magloire 15, Aldridge 8
That's an 11-man rotation, which is too big. How do we pare it down? I would suggest that the solution to this quagmire is a two-pringed attack: 1. Trade one of your big men – clearly either LaFrentz or Magloire – for an expiring contract that you can stash on the bench. Some might say you already have this in Magloire, but he’s too experienced to treat him that way. 2. Give those Udoka/Graham minutes to either Webster or Outlaw, once they show they can fill out their game a little more. Then you’re looking at a very nice 9-man rotation of Jack, Roy, Outlaw, Randolph, and Pryzbilla starting, with Dixon, Webster, Aldridge, and whichever is left of Magloire or LaFrentz coming off the bench.
I think it’s exciting times for Portland, and I’m not even talking about their fast start. Even if the team goes “thud” over these next two weeks (they’ve got a very tough schedule, and going 2-6 wouldn’t be a shock), they’ve got a direction, they’ve got a rotation starting to fill itself out, and they’ve got a nice young group of guys. There’s a lot to like in Blazerland right now.
Tuesday, November 14, 2006
First, the not-so-bad: Darius Miles is out for the year.
Not that this is necessarily a bad thing -- as mentioned in my last post, I'm not entirely convinced we really want D-Miles anywhere near this team. I'm just disappoined we won't have a chance to trade him. As you all may or may not know, the initial plan had been to perform arthroscopic surgery on Miles' knee, give him a month or so to heal, and take it from there. However, during the arthroscopic procedure, doctors apparently found a few things they didn't like and ended up performing microfracture surgery which will now keep Miles out for the remainder of the season. From a cash perspective, this is a good thing for Portland, as they'll be getting a significant amount of his salary back in the form of insurance payments. From a cap perspective, it's a bad thing, as they're still on the hook for his full salary and now most certainly will not be able to trade Miles until next year.
Personally, I'm making the prediction right now that the club will negotiate some sort of a buyout between now and next October when the season begins; it's just impossible to see Darius rejoining the team in any sort of functioning role at this point. Although I'm not sure you can buy a player out when he's physically unable to play.
Secondly, the Zbo thing. Apparently -- and you can get all this information over at O-Live -- this goes back to the 2-man bachelor party. A woman was allegedly paid by Zach to perform a "simulated sex act" on another woman at his hotel room. She got drunk, passed out, and found Zbo on top of her. I downloaded the seven-page formal PDF complaint that was filed, and without reviewing the details here (there is some truly nasty stuff there), let me assure you that what this woman is alleging is very dirty and very wrong.
None of this is funny, and I'm just not quite sure what to say other than I hope this is simply a ploy by a greedy golddigger to get into Zach's pockets and coerce a settlement. If it's anything more -- which I can't say would be a huge surprise -- I think we're all in for a tremendous disappointment.
The All Star (now Joel has a "lower abdominal hemotoma", let's just say that a hemotoma in the area where he got hit is one of the most unpleasant things imaginable)
At the T-wolves:
Mike James (a Kevin McHale Special)
Seriously, the Wolves have a dreadful roster outside of KG, although they do have a player named "blunt", good times. I'm not even going to mock Eddie Griffin, he's done plenty to himself already.
The Blazers have a very interesting trip ahead of them against 2 teams they certainly can beat (Minnesota and Boston) and two against teams they really shouldn't (Cleveland and New Jersey). If they get a split and come home 6-5 I'll be very happy. Portland is getting 8.5 half tonight, Vegas still not sure about our boys, I'd take the points tonight.
Sunday, November 12, 2006
- The Mavericks are a better team. I still don't want to hear anything about moral victories or how they put up a good fight or how they gave it a good try. This isn't Yale, I don't care about the old college try, words to live by in major sports: a good fight is one you win.
- The Marcus might be pretty good. I'm honest, I sent a text message in the second quarter tonight to the Blazers Blog Moderator (who for some reason still goes nameless to our readers) that read "I don't want to say The Marcus is a stiff, but he's a stiff." It takes a big man to admit when he is wrong, I am not a big man. Still, he's got some interesting potential.
- Jarrett Jack, quality NBA Point Guard.
- The officiating in the NBA is a debacle. I know this is news right up there with "Lochi likes alcohol" but this game was especially horrific, both ways. I suppose if there's one positive from their overwhelming dogshit officiating it's that it's not one sided. They call it straight up, crappy for each team.
- Every time I see the Blazer Dancers I think to myself "self, I wonder if they know they've been pimped out as part of a ticket package".
- The bottom line here is that the Blazers without Brandon Roy need Z-bo to play above and beyond a normal player to beat good teams. He did against the Lakers and Hornets, he was merely good tonight. We're all going to hold our breath and wait until Roy gets back, but this is most definitely a different team than the past couple years. I'm cautiously optimistic.
The All Star
Just typing the lineups makes me cringe, but, they're 1-5 and playing like crap and the Blazers are playing terrific. Tonight also marks the return/debut of The Marcus. I'd expect him to make his first appearance sometime late in the first quarter, and frankly, this isn't a good game for him to get his feet wet. Eric Dampier is a hoss, Dirk is arguably the best player in the world, so other than that, have a good time, welcome to the NBA.
The Blazers are getting 5.5 tonight, currently sitting at 5-1 on the year, I will be taking the Blazers to cover. At this point, why the hell not?
Saturday, November 11, 2006
Anyway, I finally came up with an answer to what's been going on. Looking at the roster as it's currently constructed you have Jarrett Jack, who led his team to the national title game and played in the quality ACC. Juan Dixon played in the ACC as well and won a national championship. The All Star played at Kentucky, also making deep runs in the NCAA tournament. We all know about Brandon Roy. These guys are players that have been in tough spots and won a lot of high profile games. Add to that a couple very talented young players in Webster and Outlaw, plus Z-bo, who did play for Tom Izzo for a year but it a lot more of a young guy than a battle tested NCAA tournament guy. All they needed was a spark, and then it happened.
Ricky Davis was mocking all of them, mocking the crowd, the Wolves were pulling away in a scene that looked all too familiar to Blazer fans. Then they snapped. It was like when Ralphie finally snaps and beats up Scott Farkas. All those players that had won all those games in college finally reached the breaking point. Now they've seemingly put the idea in all the young guys that if you fight and scratch and claw you can win a lot of games in the NBA. If they continue to bust ass every night then yes, they can win 35-40 games, maybe more.
Unfortunately, there is the news that Brandon Roy could be out a while. He's out at least a week or two, and if he has surgery the expected down time is 4-6 weeks. They do get The Marcus back, hopefully he can give them something worthy of a #2 pick in the draft. The key now though is going to be Martell. He's got to score. Jack's going to do his thing, and if Z-bo is going to keep playing like this, all they need is that perimeter gunner to keep it going. They're 4-2, and if they can get through this brutal month of games without Roy at 8-8 or better, watch out.
Friday, November 10, 2006
What is wrong with the Dallas Mavericks?
Or for that matter, the Suns and Nuggets? Three teams we all thought would contend in West are sporting a combined 2-12 record. That's a .142 win% between the three. I'll give some credit to the Suns and Mavericks, they've both played awfully tough schedules for the first week and a half of the season. But the Nuggets ... losing to Minnesota and New York at home? Come on fellas. It's far too early to make any judgements, but I do think there are minor reasons for concern. Phoenix is clearly still adjusting to having Amare Stoudemire back, and Mike D'Antoni has been jerking around with the starting lineup, switching around Boris Diaw, Raja Bell and Leandro Barbosa. Denver got some bad news about Kenyon Martin, and despite strong starts from Carmelo and Camby they simply need more production from the backcourt. As for the Mavs, I'm sure they'll be fine, but it's been a bizarre start for a few of the Western Conference heavyweights.
Darius Miles' knee: insurance ploy?
Three things occurred to me as the news came down yesterday that Darius Miles would be undergoing another knee surgery.
1. Why didn't they figure this out sooner?
The team had the entire offseason so get his knee looked at; what exactly took so long? Did they simply assume he'd be okay and when he showed up with swelling and pain it was a big shock? We've all heard the "he might have played his last game ever for Portland" rumors -- which are just weird -- and all of this just doesn't make a ton of sense right now.
2. Do we really want him back?
I don't think we do. He's supposedly a clubhouse cancer; he'd be taking minutes away from Udoka, Martell, and Outlaw; Nate doesn't like him; the team is doing well without him, and he doesn't try very hard. It's not like Portland is winning a championship this year and his contributions will help push them over the edge. I see more negative than positive to Darius' rejoining the team.
3. Could this be an insurance play by Portland?
You can't help but wonder. Why delay this second surgery until the season has already started? Some of the quotes from Darius ... "the team knows whats going on, it's up to them" ... "I'm just waiting on their decision" ...etc, imply that the Blazers took their sweet time with addressing this situation. Now clearly the players' union would file a grievance if Portland were deliberately doing anything to prevent Darius from playing or from getting the medical attention he needs, but I'm merely pointing out that if Darius doesn't play at all this season, the it's possible that Portland could get an insurance cash windfall to cover part or most of his salary. And given that they may not want him back that badly anyway, it's certainly possible that they'd rather just collect the insurance payout and keep him away from the team.
What a bizarre situation this whole Darius thing is. Stay tuned.
The Thomas Watch
Isaiah's Knicks are 2-3, with wins over Memphis and Denver, and losses to Atlanta, Indiana and San Antonio. And let me say this: they're in for a huge downturn. Not because of anything that Isaih is specifically doing, but rather because of their schedule. They've got games @ Houston, @ San Antonio and @ Miami, with home games against Cleveland, Washington and Houston again -- all in the next 11 days. Following this recent 1-6 stretch I expect they'll be something like 3-9 and not looking good, and we'll see the real heat start to come down on Isaiah.
The Pacers Watch
You all know that Indiana is my big sleeper pick this year to make it out of the East. How are they doing so far? Let's take a look. They're 3-2, with wins over New York, Charlotte and Philly, and losses to NO/OKC and Washington. So they've essentially beaten up on the crappy teams and lost to the decent teams. We'll check back in in a few weeks.
The Bargnani Watch
How's the #1 overall pick doing? He's played in all four games for Toronto thus far, averaging 3.5 points and 2.3 rebounds in 9 minutes of play. I know it doesn't work this way, but at that rate if you give him 30 minutes per game he's a 10-and-7 player. Not too shabby for a rookie. He's a project, and Toronto acknowledged this when they drafted him. Going further down the draft list, we all know how LaMarcus Aldridge is doing ... move along, nothing to see here ... how about Adam Morrison? 15 points, 2 rebounds, and 1.5 assists in 33 minutes per game -- or, exactly what we thought he'd do. He's not really rebounding or defending or distributing, but he is scoring. I can't say I'm terribly impressed with the 37% FG shooting, or 1.18 points-per-shot, but he's stroking it okay from 3pt (35%) and he's delivering some much-needed offense to the Bobcats.
Two other quick check-ins: Tyrus Thomas is averaging 5 points and 3 rebounds in 11 minutes per game for the Bulls, and Shelden Williams is averaging 3 points and 4.5 rebounds in nearly 20 minutes per game. Thomas is a project (he's the guy we should be watching compared to Aldridge, not Morrison) and I think Williams is commonly regarded as a disappointment so far -- but clearly too early to tell on both.
That's all for now. Fantastic post by The Lochi on forgiving Brandon Roy; pultizer material there. Any of us who grew up as Blazer and Duck fans -- and there are a lot of us -- can certainly relate to that. Two more tests for Portland this weekend as the Hornets and Mavs come to town. Enjoy the weekend, and Go Blazers.
Thursday, November 09, 2006
First a little background, my freshmen year in school and one of the first Duck games I saw live was the Kenny Wheaton game. I saw the Pat Johnson corner of the end zone game in Husky Stadium. I've got a picture on my fridge of when I turned my chair around in the middle of a party and refused to watch the game until they put Clemens back in (The Fife Debacle). I even attended the Husky win over Miami in Husky Stadium with the Dorsey family, the wife's family is family friends with the Dorseys. Husky Stadium was every bit as nasty that day as it always has been for us up there. I lived through Skippys Reign of Terror as well, and my fantasy football league's divisions are the Brock, Damon, and Skippy, because no 3 people did more for Oregon football than the Huard Brothers and Skippy, seeing as how he systematically destroyed their program.
Now, Brandon Roy is on one of those promos they run where you're supposed to get to know him better. He's very well spoken, friendly, confident, a marketing dream. On the promo I saw the other night there was this exchange:
Interviewer: What's your favorite sport other than basketball?
Roy: College football. I love college football.
Interviewer: And your favorite team?
(Lochi picks up magazine and prepares to deposit it against the wall with extreme prejudice)
Roy: The Miami Hurricanes.
(Lochi falls off the chair laughing his ass off)
Yep, that's a kid who grew up in Seattle, spent 4 years at Washington, and his favorite football team is the Miami Hurricanes? Nothing I can say or do to mock the Husky football program could possibly have a bigger effect. Thank you Brandon, you are no longer a Husky to me.
The Blazers simply crushed the Lakers last night. They led by 8-15 points most of the second half, with only one dicey section. It was just a domination by Z-bo, who's been nothing short of an animal inside this year. He went for 36 and 11 but it felt like about 50 and 25. All of his points were of the physically dominating variety, the demoralizing low block easy bucket.
The Mamba is clearly not right, he's not nearly as explosive as he will be in a few months.
My streak has ended, I'm now 4-1 picking Blazer games, the board Moderator is 2-3 however. I'm not terribly sure where the team goes from here. I can't really believe they're 3-2 with New Orleans and Dallas coming to town. They have a very rough November, this was covered in our season preview, but I'm starting to think if they can get out of this month at .500, well, we might have to start talking about some crazy things. None of that talk now though, just enjoy the ride.
Wednesday, November 08, 2006
The All Star (how long can a guy be out with a shot to the jewels?)
Smush Parker (seriously?)
The Black Mamba
The Lakers come roaring into this game at 4-1 on the season and just got 20 & 14 from their young center last night. Bynum looked tremendous, according to the LA Times, but Odom has done his disappearing act recently since Kobe's return. The Zen Master called him out apparently the other night for vanishing when Kobe's on the floor. The Mamba himself is still injured and not going off on any 50 point barrages as of yet. In fact, he's been a team player so far, he only took 7 shots last night, and has only taken 32 in three games. He's taken 32 shots in a half on more than one occasion. All that being said, when I read in the Oregonian that "Webster and Udoka will share defensive duties on Bryant" that leads me to believe The Mamba will be out in full effect tonight.
When the Lakers come to town it's always a show. They're still the Lakers, they still have Kobe, Phil, and the purple uniforms. I'm on a personal quest to go 82-0 against the spread this year picking Blazer games, I'm 4-0, the other guy is 2-2. They're getting 4 tonight in the Rose Garden, and if they had Brandon Roy I'd certainly take that. He won't be playing tonight though, and they're extremely short handed all over the floor. Reluctantly, I have to take the Lakers and give the 4 tonight.
Tuesday, November 07, 2006
In case you were keeping track, and you know I was, that would be 8 first round draft picks in the last 3 years, and one is going to be in the starting lineup tomorrow night against the Lakers, Jarrett Jack. Sebastian Telfair, Surge Monia, Viktor the Krapper, Martell Webster, Jack, The Marcus, Roy, and Rodriguez. That's it folks, The Elite 8, 1 starter. I know Steve, I know, that's just a bunch of subterfuge.
The Blazers lost a game last night, but it certainly appears that they may have lost a hell of a lot more. From Jordan's 6 rings, including one over the Blazers, to Elliot's shot, to The Meltdown, to the Elite 8, it's certainly worth a deeper look to see if there is some kind of curse. I'll see if Jobu has anything to say on the matter, I'll offer him cigar and rum, he will come.
Monday, November 06, 2006
The All Star - presumably starting in place of Joel again.
Quinton Ross (I know, I don't get it either)
Tim Thomas did start over Kaman on Saturday night against the Suns and I'm not sure why. The goofy starter is Quinton Ross over Maggette, his dog house status has been talked about at great length on major websites. On Saturday Ross had a stellar 19 minutes where he scored 2 points, pulled down 2 boards, had 0 assists, 0 steals, and 0 blocks to go along with his 4 fouls while Maggette went for 23 points and 12 boards off the bench. Seems perfectly reasonable that Ross would be the starter.
The Blazers are getting 11 tonight down in the Staples Center, The Loch is currently 3-0 against the spread vs 1-2 for this board's fearless Moderator. No word yet on what he's picking tonight, but I'm afraid I'm laying the 11 and taking the Clip. They're just a more advanced team than ours, playing at home, and I'm not overly optimistic about this one. The home games this week though, that's another story. Until then, enjoy watching the game tonight...or not.
UPDATE: The Blazers Blog Moderator will also be laying the 11 tonight and taking The Clip.
Sunday, November 05, 2006
The Blazers are 2-1, and looking like they might have a respectable basketball team this year. Following a disappointing performance by the team on Friday night in the Bay Area, they rebounded to come back from a 16-point deficit and beat the Minnesota Timberwolves on a Dixon three-pointer with six seconds left.
Travis Outlaw and Brandon Roy were the stars of the game, with Zach Randolph doing his "good Zach" thing down-low in the second half. But THE story for Portland this year is Brandon Roy. I think most of us expected him to be a very solid player who would grow into a leadership role, but this is already his team. I've never seen a rookie energize and change a Portland team like Roy has. He's quick enough to drive by even very good perimeter defenders (as Mike Barrett correctly pointed out during the broadcast on Saturday night), smart enough to know how to use the pick-and-roll to get himself an open jumper, and sees the floor well enough to find the open teammate when he draws the open team. He didn't have a great shooting night on Saturday, but you really can't ask anything more of him than what he's done so far.
I also thought it was interesting that Portland's crunch-time lineup was Roy, Dixon, Webster, Outlaw, Zbo. That's an incredibly small lineup, and interestingly I think you can make the argument that it's one of Portland's worst defensive lineups. With Joel having missed the game due to a "lower abdominal injury" (read: he got kneed in the balls by Troy Murphy), Portland had to make adjustments, but it was a curious decision by Nate. Clearly he wanted speed and shooting, and both paid off despite a few defensive lapses.
And speaking of Nate, I have to give him major credit. First, on Dixon's game winner Nate set up a play where Roy attacked the rim, with shooters on each corner (Dixon on the left and Martell on the right). Sure enough, Roy goes right by Trenton Hassell, draws the wing defenders in, and kicks to Dixon. Great setup there; it's like a triple-option play for a QB.
A few additional thoughts on the past two nights:
- This whole "Outlaw at the 4" thing is an interesting experiment, and it seems to be working. Following Portland's first two games against teams without dominant post players (although Seattle's Chris Wilcox is getting there), you would think if that strategy was ever going to blow up in Portland's face it would be against Minnesota and KG. But Outlaw was fantastic on Saturday -- he's got the quicks and the hops to always have an offensive option no matter what type of defender is guarding him. 18 points and 15 rebounds in 32 minutes in what was in my mind his best game to-date as a Blazer.
- Not living in the pacific northwest, Saturday's game was my first chance to see Portland's home-town broadcast. And I have to come clean: I'm okay with Mike Barrett -- even enjoy him. But I cannot stand Mike Rice. He's like a poor-man's Joe Theisman -- gets way too excited about certain players, is a blatant homer to the point of annoyance, and says foolish things at inopportune times. A painful color-man to listen to.
- Another positive from this season that's gotten lost in all of the Roy hullabaloo is the growth of Martell Webster. He looks to have taken the first major step: going from a relatively lost rookie to a valuable asset off the bench. He's finally learned how to use his shooting skills as an asset without forcing shots of screwing up the offensive flow, and I thought his game on Saturday -- 16 points on 6-8 shooting (4-5 from 3pt) was EXACTLY what this team needs from him.
- One of the most encouraging things to me about Saturday's game (and despite the sluggish-at-times offensive performance, there was a lot to like) was that Roy and Zbo shot a combined 12-of-34, yet Portland still had enough to win thanks to Outlaw and Webster.
- A quick note about minutes played. Brandon Roy (38.3), Jarrett Jack (35.7), and Ime Udoka (25.7) are first, third, and fourth respectively in minutes played on the team. This is a little concerning, as Roy will inevitably hit the rookie wall around late February-early March that every rookie hits, it's Jack's second year and first as a full-time player as well as Udoka's. We know these guys are going to slow down at some point, I'd like to see Nate ease back a little bit so we might at least be able to prolong their "good production time" a bit.
- And finally, what a great sign that the team was able to come back from a bad performance on Friday and play much better on the back end of a back-to-back. One thing you frequently see with young teams is disappointing play on those back ends, but you have to give Nate credit for keeping them up and fresh.
The Blazers put on the Big-Boy Pants this week, as they start to play a few of the teams in the upper-half of the league. The've got games against the Clippers, Hornets, Lakers and Mavericks in the next seven days so we'll get a chance to see if Portland truly is a Tier-3 "Middleweight" team as they've looked for these first few games.
Enjoy your football today, and Go Blazers!
Saturday, November 04, 2006
You know Brandon Roy is an elite player already when he's 4 for 17 from the floor and the other team goes zone when they're up by 1 with 20 seconds left, followed by their whole team collapsing on him, and he kicks out to a wide open Dixon in the corner for the game winner. Awesome.
Travis Outlaw apparently channeled his Vegas self for tonight's festivities. If he'd like to continue to play like that, well, maybe Trader Bob's parting gift to the franchise wasn't such a bad idea after all.
Martell Webster can shoot, I'll give him that much.
What the hell is on Udoka's arm?
Why in the the name of all that is good and holy does the Pac 10 schedule Duck and Beav games at the exact same time on a November Saturday? It took me 3.5 hours to get home tonight. Not good times. Not good times at all.
I haven't seen the stats, but I think the Ducks rushed the ball 84 times for 792 yards today on the Huskies. I particularly liked the game still in doubt, 1st and 10 at their own 7, rush the ball every play for 93 yards and a back breaking touchdown. That's just basically saying "you know what, we're not screwing around anymore, we're jamming it down your throat the rest of the game."
Stop throwing it to the other team Dennis.
How can a guy that runs like a freight train be so soft with the injuries?
The Blazers are 2-1, 2-0 within their own softy division with the Lake Show coming to town in a few days. I'm officially excited about the team, and yes I do reserve the right to hate them at some point in the 06/07 season.
Go Blazers, Go Ducks, and just remember that you can't spell suck without U-S-C.
Friday, November 03, 2006
Mike Dunleavy The Deuce
They've also got a couple Duck Killers on their bench too in Matt Barnes and Ike Diogu. The Blazers are getting 8.5 tonight and I'm torn on this one. Considering the level of the win they had a couple nights ago in Seattle this one screams Let Down Game to me, especially with the home opener tomorrow night. Reluctantly, I will pick the Warriors to cover this one tonight, 99-89.
A few other notes, one of us will be in attendance tonight at the game down in East Oak-town, that person would not be me. Hopefully he'll have something positive to report about his experience tomorrow. I will be down watching Brandon Roy's horrific university get torn apart by the Ducks in Autzen. Brandon is rapidly making me forgive the fact that he's a Husky, but I would advise against watching this one tomorrow Brandon, it's going to be a Defcon 1 woodshed beating. Of course I'm completely impartial on the subject.
Thursday, November 02, 2006
Brandon Roy is fantastic. What else can you say? His first NBA game and he goes out and plays 35 minutes against Ray Allen, goes 10-16 from the floor, 20 points, 3 rebounds, 2 assists, and if you watched the game you can just tell that it's already his team. Once it hit the second half and the game appeared to be win-able, they went with Roy and Randolph at the high screen and roll and just demolished the Sonics.
Zach Randolph, talk about two totally different halves. He was dreadful in the first half, doing everything I hate about him. He was taking only mid-range jumpers, not boxing out on the defensive glass, and letting a waste of space like Chris Wilcox beat him repeatedly. Then in the second half he was everything I like about him, low post offense, great rebounder, gets to the free throw line (14-15 from the line last night) and finished the night with 30 points and 10 boards, not to mention fouling out Wilcox, injuring Sene, and obliterating Collison and Petro.
Jarrett Jack is a solid, solid point guard. 13 points, 6 boards, 6 assists (to 3 turnovers), and 3 steals in 44 minutes running point. That's pretty good and I expect him to get better.
This team scored 110 points, and offensively they actually moved with a purpose last night. They legitimately have a half court offense (Roy and Z-bo), they swing the ball and get shots for guys, and they have an energy scorer off the bench in Dixon, good role for him.
The team allowed 106 points, not so good. They should have won this game by 20 if they didn't give up so many lay ups from just blatantly not getting back on defense after a made basket. This is infuriating to watch, just get back and make them set up, it's not hard. I know they're young and can space out at times, but if they fix that, this team could be better than we thought. I was going to rant endlessly about the rebounding, which was awful in the first half, but they abused the Sonics on the glass in the second half and outrebounded them 40-34 for the game.
And finally, it should be noted that The Loch is now 1-0 against the spread on the year picking Blazer games and your fearless Moderator is 0-1. Preview for the game against the Golden State Fighting Triangle Guys tomorrow. For now, enjoy it, the Blazers are 1-0 and just might not be that bad this year.
Wednesday, November 01, 2006
Portland Starting 5:
Oklahoma City Supersonics:
Mouhamad Sene (not joking)
The Sonics are -8.5 for tonight's game and if I were a wagering sort I would place dollar bills on the Blazers getting those points tonight. Without the dude from Children of The Corn playing center, I really, really don't like this team on the inside. I look for Zach to have a big night, and I look for Brandon Roy to also put up a gem in his first appearance back in Seattle. If you have to start on the road in the Western Conference, and you can't play yourself, there couldn't be a much better place to start for the Blazers. Don't get used to this, but I actually like the Blazers to win tonight.
Official prediction: Blazers 96, Sonics 92.